Poole Town 2-2 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
29%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.1pp
29%
Away Win
39%
-9.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.10/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.05
+41% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.04.2024 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 1-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
28.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
28.01.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 4-0 HT 3-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town and Plymouth Parkway shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Plymouth Parkway led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Poole Town and 1.67 for Plymouth Parkway.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Poole Town 2-2 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 37%, draw 34%, Plymouth Parkway 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Poole Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Poole Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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