Whitby Town 3-1 Morpeth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
36%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-10.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
24%
+12.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.96/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.71
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Whitby Town
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Morpeth Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
26.12.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
30.09.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town FAK
07.02.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
18.10.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
01.01.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
30.08.2021 Whitby Town Whitby Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs Morpeth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Whitby Town beat Morpeth Town 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Whitby Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Whitby Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Whitby Town and 0.67 for Morpeth Town.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs Morpeth Town?

Whitby Town 3-1 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs Morpeth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 42%, draw 22%, Morpeth Town 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Whitby Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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