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Abertillery Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Abertillery Bluebirds v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals
Abertillery Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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6-1
HT 3-1
Abertillery Bluebirds
GALFAW
Caerau (Ely) saw off Abertillery Bluebirds 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Abertillery Bluebirds and 3.00 for Caerau (Ely).
What was the final score of Abertillery Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?
Abertillery Bluebirds 3-5 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Abertillery Bluebirds vs Caerau (Ely)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Abertillery Bluebirds 28%, draw 25%, Caerau (Ely) 47%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.