Dinamo Batumi 3-1 Samtredia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.6
No
54%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
79%
-20.2pp
21%
Draw
12%
+8.7pp
20%
Away Win
8%
+11.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
34%
+11.7pp
54%
BTTS No
66%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Samtredia EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
2.59/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.39
-8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Batumi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Samtredia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-3 HT 0-2 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
19.08.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
10.05.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 1-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
12.03.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-2 HT 1-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
24.10.2021 Samtredia Samtredia 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
08.08.2021 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 3-1 HT 1-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Batumi
3-1
AWAY Samtredia
75% Ball Possession 25%
25 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Batumi vs Samtredia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Batumi beat Samtredia 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Batumi as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dinamo Batumi had 75% of the ball to Samtredia's 25%, shots finished 25-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dinamo Batumi and 1.17 for Samtredia.

What was the final score of Dinamo Batumi vs Samtredia?

Dinamo Batumi 3-1 Samtredia in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Batumi vs Samtredia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Batumi 59%, draw 21%, Samtredia 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Batumi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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