Gagra 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 16 Apr 2024

Gagra
0-2 HT 0-0
Dinamo Tbilisi
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga – 2024

Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
51%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gagra v Dinamo Tbilisi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 55%
+14% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.43/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.11
+41% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
13.08.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-6 HT 1-4 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
06.05.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
08.03.2023 Gagra Gagra 3-5 HT 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
03.12.2022 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-1 HT 1-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
18.09.2022 Gagra Gagra 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR

Gagra 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
0-2
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi saw off Gagra 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Tbilisi as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gagra had 47% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 53%, shots finished 19-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gagra and 2.33 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Gagra 0-2 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gagra 28%, draw 22%, Dinamo Tbilisi 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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