CSKA Moskova 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.01
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.8
X/1
14%
3.61
X/2
9%
11.15
X/X
13%
4.98
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
9%
9.48
2/X
4%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.59/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.62
-15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
367 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.58 xG 0.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
363 Passes 293
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
30.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
2-0
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova got the better of Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 51% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 49%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.00 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

CSKA Moskova 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Cup on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 52%, draw 25%, Baltika Kaliningrad 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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