Inter 2-2 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 16 Apr 2025

Inter
2-2 HT 0-0
Bayern Münih
📅16/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Inter vs Bayern Münih Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.23
Over
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.54
2-3
39%
1.91
4-5
24%
2.82
6+
11%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.75
1/2
5%
24.2
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
17%
6.22
X/2
12%
5.89
X/X
12%
5.58
2/1 ✗
7%
25.0
2/2
15%
3.44
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter v Bayern Münih — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 42%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
1.34/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.32
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 85%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
12.5 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Inter vs Bayern Münih Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.75 xG 2.12
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
378 Passes 541
85% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.04.2025 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter ŞMP
01.11.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Inter ŞMP
07.09.2022 Inter Inter 0-2 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih ŞMP
27.07.2017 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 0-2 HT 0-2 Inter Inter HAZ
31.07.2016 Inter Inter 1-4 HT 0-4 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih HAZ
21.07.2015 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter HAZ

Inter 2-2 Bayern Münih — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-2
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.49 xG 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
245 Passes 468
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 48
9 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter and Bayern Münih couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Inter at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Inter had 38% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 62%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.49 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Inter and 1.67 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Inter vs Bayern Münih?

Inter 2-2 Bayern Münih in the Champions League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Inter 42%, draw 25%, Bayern Münih 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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