Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒22:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.3pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 23%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.02
-18% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +145% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
Crosses 14.2
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 1.31
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
218 Passes 336
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia 2-2 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
01.11.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-0
AWAY Estudiantes
1 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia squeezed past Estudiantes 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Rivadavia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 1-0.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Independiente Rivadavia and 1.50 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Cup on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 45%, draw 29%, Estudiantes 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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