Estudiantes 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.38
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.01
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
19.75
X/1
19%
3.32
X/2
7%
12.2
X/X
14%
4.22
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
6%
11.9
2/X
6%
21.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 17%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.76/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.21
+15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
24.5 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-1
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.65 xG 0.84
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
383 Passes 160
78% Pass Accuracy 57%
20 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes and Independiente Rivadavia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Estudiantes had 65% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 35%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.65 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Estudiantes 1-1 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 53%, draw 28%, Independiente Rivadavia 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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