CA Sarmiento 0-0 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.53
No
69%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
10%
7.89
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.69
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.1
X/1
5%
7.11
X/2
11%
4.06
X/X
19%
3.1
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.1
2/X
6%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+2.8pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.2pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.2pp
31%
BTTS Yes
36%
-4.2pp
69%
BTTS No
64%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
1.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.89
-14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.8 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Independiente
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.50 xG 1.48
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
189 Passes 418
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.06.2023 Independiente Independiente 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
12.09.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
22.10.2021 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 1-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
16.03.2021 Independiente Independiente 6-0 HT 4-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
03.10.2016 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
04.04.2016 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
0-0
AWAY Independiente
1.14 xG 0.88
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
162 Passes 386
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento and Independiente played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (27% / 33% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (69%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 35% of the ball to Independiente's 65%, shots finished 6-22, expected goals 1.14 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for CA Sarmiento and 2.00 for Independiente.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Independiente?

CA Sarmiento 0-0 Independiente in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 27%, draw 33%, Independiente 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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