Rosario Central 0-1 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
40%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
13%
5.48
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.25 — our 40% vs market 37.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.3
X/1
22%
3.45
X/2
8%
11.85
X/X
15%
3.98
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
7%
11.35
2/X
7%
19.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-10.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.0pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.56/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.31
+9% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 67%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
29.1 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Barracas Central
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 202
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 0-1 HT 0-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJK
29.03.2024 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-2 HT 0-2 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
07.11.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.06.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
13.08.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 3-1 HT 1-1 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
13.03.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-3 HT 1-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
0-1
AWAY Barracas Central
0.54 xG 0.32
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
263 Passes 161
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 10
40 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barracas Central edged past Rosario Central 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rosario Central at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Rosario Central had 60% of the ball to Barracas Central's 40%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.54 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barracas Central led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rosario Central and 1.33 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Barracas Central?

Rosario Central 0-1 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 50%, draw 30%, Barracas Central 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rosario Central) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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