16/04/2025
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Heart of Lions vs Medeama Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
36%
Draw
29%
28%
Away Win
27%
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
59%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heart of Lions v Medeama — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Heart of Lions
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Medeama
EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-11% /
-11%
1.42/0.59
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.37/0.86
+28%
/
+1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-42%
/
+30%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
229 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
298 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
2.7
Heart of Lions vs Medeama Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Heart of Lions
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Medeama
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
41%
Ball Possession
59%
14
Total Shots
18
3
Shots on Target
5
2
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Heart of Lions vs Medeama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Heart of Lions nicked a narrow win over Medeama 1-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 36% / 28%) promised a tight game; Heart of Lions found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Heart of Lions vs Medeama?
Heart of Lions 1-0 Medeama in the Gana - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heart of Lions vs Medeama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Heart of Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Heart of Lions 36%, draw 36%, Medeama 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/36/28)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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