Accra Lions 3-0 Asante Kotoko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.32
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.67
No
64%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
27%
-4.7pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.0pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
33%
+2.8pp
64%
BTTS No
67%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Asante Kotoko EU Bookmakers 43%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.35
-29% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
236 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accra Lions
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Asante Kotoko
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 Asante Kotoko Asante Kotoko 1-0 Accra Lions GANA
12.02.2022 Asante Kotoko Asante Kotoko 3-1 HT 2-1 Accra Lions GANA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accra Lions
3-0
AWAY Asante Kotoko
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 14
POST-MATCH Accra Lions vs Asante Kotoko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accra Lions swept aside Asante Kotoko 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Asante Kotoko at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

On the day, Accra Lions had 39% of the ball to Asante Kotoko's 61%, shots finished 14-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Asante Kotoko led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Accra Lions and 2.00 for Asante Kotoko.

What was the final score of Accra Lions vs Asante Kotoko?

Accra Lions 3-0 Asante Kotoko in the Gana - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accra Lions vs Asante Kotoko?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asante Kotoko win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Accra Lions 22%, draw 34%, Asante Kotoko 44%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Asante Kotoko), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asante Kotoko) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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