Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.86
Over
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.09
2-3
41%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.5
6+
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.09 — our 27% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 25%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
0.84/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.21
-41% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.4 Crosses 13.1
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-3 HT 1-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
30.07.2022 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
17.05.2022 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
27.04.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 HT 0-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
02.04.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 HT 1-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
04.09.2020 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu got the better of Suwon Bluewings 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimcheon Sangmu as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.17 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon Bluewings?

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 50%, draw 25%, Suwon Bluewings 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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