Hwaseong 0-1 Siheung Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
27%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
27%
Away Win
38%
-10.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 42%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.27/2.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+62% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Siheung Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
5 Corners 6
21.09.2024 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-2 HT 1-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
26.05.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
03.09.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
07.05.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
09.07.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 4-0 HT 3-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
27.03.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-1 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Siheung Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siheung Citizen nicked a narrow win over Hwaseong 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Siheung Citizen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hwaseong and 1.33 for Siheung Citizen.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Siheung Citizen?

Hwaseong 0-1 Siheung Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Siheung Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 40%, draw 33%, Siheung Citizen 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hwaseong) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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