Hwaseong 2-2 Siheung Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 21 Sep 2024

Hwaseong
2-2 HT 1-0
Siheung Citizen
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
South Kore - K3 League – 2024

Hwaseong vs Siheung Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hwaseong v Siheung Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Siheung Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.31/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.17
-9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hwaseong vs Siheung Citizen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Siheung Citizen
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
03.09.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-0 HT 0-0 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
07.05.2023 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
09.07.2022 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen 4-0 HT 3-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
27.03.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-1 HT 0-1 Siheung Citizen Siheung Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Siheung Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong and Siheung Citizen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Siheung Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Hwaseong and 1.20 for Siheung Citizen.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Siheung Citizen?

Hwaseong 2-2 Siheung Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Siheung Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 39%, draw 28%, Siheung Citizen 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hwaseong) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✓ BTTS Yes
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