Gimhae City 1-0 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
1.35/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.09
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimhae City
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
6 Corners 9
24.05.2024 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
09.09.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
13.05.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
04.09.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-1 HT 1-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
08.05.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-4 HT 1-3 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
04.09.2021 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City nicked a narrow win over Ulsan Citizen 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gimhae City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimhae City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimhae City and 0.83 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Ulsan Citizen?

Gimhae City 1-0 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 45%, draw 23%, Ulsan Citizen 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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