Havadar 0-4 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.41
Over
44%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
35%
1.94
2-3
42%
1.8
4-5
16%
6.27
6+
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.4pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
67%
-10.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
33%
+10.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havadar EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
0.65/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.43
-28% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +83%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havadar
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
13.12.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Havadar Havadar IRAN
15.02.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
10.08.2023 Havadar Havadar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.02.2023 Havadar Havadar 0-1 HT 0-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
20.02.2023 Havadar Havadar 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRANK
10.09.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-1 HT 0-0 Havadar Havadar IRAN
POST-MATCH Havadar vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan cruised past Havadar 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) promised a tight game; Mes Rafsanjan found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mes Rafsanjan led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Havadar and 0.67 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Havadar vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Havadar 0-4 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havadar vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mes Rafsanjan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Havadar 29%, draw 33%, Mes Rafsanjan 38%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Rafsanjan), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mes Rafsanjan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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