Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Apr 2025

Yokohama F. Marinos
2-3 HT 1-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
📅16/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.9
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 32% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.28
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
13%
5.13
X/2
15%
6.54
X/X
10%
4.33
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
16%
4.79
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Shimizu S-Pulse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.52/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.22
+21% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.6 Crosses 17.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.58 xG 1.02
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
598 Passes 248
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.07.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-5 HT 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
06.03.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
09.08.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
30.05.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
19.05.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 5-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
21.04.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK

Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Shimizu S-Pulse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2-3
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.23 xG 0.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
455 Passes 335
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse nicked a narrow win over Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Shimizu S-Pulse found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 56% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 44%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.23 to 0.76 — on chances, Yokohama F. Marinos could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.17 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Yokohama F. Marinos 2-3 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 37%, draw 26%, Shimizu S-Pulse 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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