Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
4.25
6+ Goals
7%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 35% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.26
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
11%
4.95
X/2
8%
6.56
X/X
22%
4.14
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
14%
5.03
2/X
4%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.14/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.60
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.5 Crosses 17.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.72 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
319 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.02.2025 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
14.07.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
15.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
15.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
27.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-2 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
06.07.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-2 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2-1
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
0.95 xG 0.49
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
251 Passes 341
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds nicked a narrow win over Kyoto Sanga 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Urawa Red Diamonds made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 44% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 56%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.95 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.50 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kyoto Sanga?

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 35%, draw 33%, Kyoto Sanga 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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