Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 31% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.11
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
19%
3.99
X/2
11%
10.25
X/X
13%
5.14
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
8%
7.91
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.99/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.46
+2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
426 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
17.9 Crosses 16.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.94 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
300 Passes 283
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
27.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-2 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
06.07.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-2 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
19.02.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
18.08.2021 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JPK
14.11.2010 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3-0
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
2.60 xG 0.65
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 6
453 Passes 261
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds ran out comfortable winners over Kyoto Sanga 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Urawa Red Diamonds as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 60% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 40%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.60 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.50 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kyoto Sanga?

Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 48%, draw 27%, Kyoto Sanga 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
15 May 2024
13:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka Analysis →
13:00 Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →
13:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare Analysis →
13:00 Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
13:00 Albirex Niigata vs Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis →
13:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →