Vissel Kobe 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.55
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.64
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.96
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.4
X/1
21%
3.43
X/2
7%
12.5
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
7%
11.6
2/X
4%
19.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
61%
-0.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
2.01/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.36
+28% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.8 Crosses 17.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.82 xG 0.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
335 Passes 215
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.06.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
18.02.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
01.10.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
10.08.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JLK
03.08.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-2 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
26.02.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
1-0
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.29 xG 0.98
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
355 Passes 220
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe edged past Avispa Fukuoka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 59% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 41%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.29 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vissel Kobe and 0.50 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Vissel Kobe 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 61%, draw 21%, Avispa Fukuoka 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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