Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.85
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
16%
5.27
X/2
16%
5.49
X/X
13%
3.88
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
12%
4.07
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.61/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.39
+34% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
20.1 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 7.00
02.07.2005 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 7-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0-0
AWAY Gamba Osaka
0.91 xG 0.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
379 Passes 403
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy and Gamba Osaka played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 48% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 52%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 0.91 to 0.25.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?

Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 38%, draw 27%, Gamba Osaka 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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