Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 33% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.89
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
12%
6.8
X/2
16%
5.03
X/X
11%
4.46
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
18%
3.06
2/X
9%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.36/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.20
-17% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.7 Crosses 17.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.07.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
15.05.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
15.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
27.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-2 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
06.07.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-2 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
19.02.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1-1
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.01 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
254 Passes 244
67% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga and Urawa Red Diamonds shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 51% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 49%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.01 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.17 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 31%, draw 30%, Urawa Red Diamonds 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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