Gamba Osaka 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.84
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
14%
4.35
X/2
8%
7.5
X/X
16%
3.7
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
7%
6.51
2/X
7%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.71/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.05
-2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.4 Crosses 19.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamba Osaka
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
426 Passes 257
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-2 HT 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
03.05.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
11.11.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-2 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
03.06.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 HT 1-2 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
31.08.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
19.03.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-3 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
2-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.20 xG 0.90
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
318 Passes 380
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 48
11 Crosses 34
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka squeezed past Avispa Fukuoka 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gamba Osaka as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gamba Osaka had 45% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 55%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.20 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gamba Osaka and 1.50 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Gamba Osaka 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 47%, draw 28%, Avispa Fukuoka 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gamba Osaka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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