Yokohama FC 1-0 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.33
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.86
X/2
11%
6.27
X/X
11%
3.55
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2 EV+ ✗
21%
5.12
2/X
9%
14.45
Value flag · 2/2 at 5.12 — our 21% vs market 15.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.7pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+8.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-36% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 Passes 302
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
35 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-4 HT 0-2 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
24.04.2024 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 3-3 HT 1-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JLK
03.04.2024 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-3 HT 0-3 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
20.08.2022 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
20.03.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
16.11.2019 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama FC
1-0
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
0.92 xG 0.72
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
204 Passes 243
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
9 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama FC vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama FC squeezed past Fagiano Okayama 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Yokohama FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yokohama FC had 46% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 54%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.92 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Yokohama FC and 1.50 for Fagiano Okayama.

What was the final score of Yokohama FC vs Fagiano Okayama?

Yokohama FC 1-0 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama FC vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yokohama FC 38%, draw 25%, Fagiano Okayama 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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