Fagiano Okayama 3-3 Yokohama FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.16
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Yokohama FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
424 Passes 304
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-3 HT 0-3 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
20.08.2022 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
20.03.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
16.11.2019 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
24.05.2015 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP2
09.11.2014 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
3-3
AWAY Yokohama FC
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Yokohama FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama and Yokohama FC couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 41% of the ball to Yokohama FC's 59%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1.00 for Yokohama FC.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Yokohama FC?

Fagiano Okayama 3-3 Yokohama FC in the Japan - League Cup on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Yokohama FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 36%, draw 29%, Yokohama FC 35%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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