Parceiro Nagano 3-2 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 45%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
3-2
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 15
5 Corners 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano nicked a narrow win over Kyoto Sanga 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Parceiro Nagano as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 37% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 63%, shots finished 13-24.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Kyoto Sanga?

Parceiro Nagano 3-2 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - League Cup on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 41%, draw 25%, Kyoto Sanga 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parceiro Nagano), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✓ Over 2.5
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