Ryukyu 2-1 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 24 Apr 2024

Ryukyu
2-1 HT 1-0
Gamba Osaka
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Japan - League Cup – 2024

Ryukyu vs Gamba Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ryukyu v Gamba Osaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 48%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.13
+64% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Ryukyu 2-1 Gamba Osaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
2-1
AWAY Gamba Osaka
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu nicked a narrow win over Gamba Osaka 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Ryukyu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ryukyu had 43% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 57%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Gamba Osaka?

Ryukyu 2-1 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - League Cup on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 34%, draw 29%, Gamba Osaka 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gamba Osaka), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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