Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
11%
6.81
X/2
15%
5.03
X/X
13%
4.61
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
20%
3.02
2/X
11%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.34/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.27
+5% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
18.4 Crosses 15.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 Passes 483
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-3 HT 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
25.05.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
09.12.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JPK
29.10.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
28.05.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
17.09.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1-1
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
0.89 xG 0.72
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
583 Passes 281
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol and Kawasaki Frontale shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 63% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 37%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.89 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.33 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 28%, draw 29%, Kawasaki Frontale 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ BTTS Yes
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