FC Tokyo 0-1 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.7
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.57
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.6
X/1
11%
6.45
X/2
12%
4.52
X/X
16%
3.57
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.25
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.29/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.71
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +61%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
17.4 Crosses 20.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.23 xG 1.57
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
430 Passes 190
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
21.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
0-1
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.61 xG 0.91
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 349
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia nicked a narrow win over FC Tokyo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Machida Zelvia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 52% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 48%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.61 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Tokyo and 2.50 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?

FC Tokyo 0-1 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 35%, draw 28%, Machida Zelvia 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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