Machida Zelvia 3-0 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.38
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
16%
3.97
X/2
10%
7.9
X/X
12%
4.35
2/1
11%
27.0
2/2
13%
6.58
2/X
9%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.47/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.37
+9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
23.0 Crosses 14.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Tokyo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.39 xG 1.99
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
169 Passes 402
62% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
21.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
3-0
AWAY FC Tokyo
2.75 xG 0.46
36% Ball Possession 64%
23 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
211 Passes 457
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
31 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 26
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia swept aside FC Tokyo 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 36% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 64%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.75 to 0.46.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?

Machida Zelvia 3-0 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 44%, draw 28%, FC Tokyo 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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