Sagan Tosu vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sagan Tosu v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals
Sagan Tosu vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Sagan Tosu
JAP
6-1
HT 1-0
Sagan Tosu
JLK
1-3
HT 1-2
Yokohama F. Marinos
JAP
0-2
HT 0-0
Yokohama F. Marinos
JLK
2-2
HT 1-1
Yokohama F. Marinos
JAP
Sagan Tosu 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics
Yokohama F. Marinos nicked a narrow win over Sagan Tosu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sagan Tosu had 35% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 65%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.71 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sagan Tosu and 2.33 for Yokohama F. Marinos.
What was the final score of Sagan Tosu vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Sagan Tosu 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sagan Tosu vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sagan Tosu 30%, draw 24%, Yokohama F. Marinos 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.