Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.51
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.45
X/1
13%
5.81
X/2
14%
5.82
X/X
11%
5.31
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
20%
3.52
2/X
7%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 40%
-24% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -17%
1.25/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.35
-11% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
21.6 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.92 xG 1.27
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
225 Passes 405
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
12.11.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-3 HT 2-3 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
03.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
12.10.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 HT 2-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
29.05.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
06.11.2010 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-4 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1-1
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.95 xG 1.06
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
170 Passes 332
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga and Kawasaki Frontale couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 37% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 63%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.95 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.83 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 37%, draw 24%, Kawasaki Frontale 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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