Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.75
X/2
15%
6.04
X/X
15%
4.06
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
12%
4.66
2/X
9%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.30/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.35
-15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
20.0 Crosses 17.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.03
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 Passes 565
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-1 HT 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
24.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
07.05.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
19.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 3-2 HT 1-2 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JLK
05.04.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-0 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
31.08.2019 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata
0.96 xG 0.77
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
175 Passes 613
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol and Albirex Niigata couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 28% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 72%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.96 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.00 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata?

Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 35%, draw 32%, Albirex Niigata 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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