Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.96
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
15%
5.08
X/2
11%
6.53
X/X
13%
5.51
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
12%
4.18
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.6pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.53/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.52
-10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
19.1 Crosses 17.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.70 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 376
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 3-3 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
16.09.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-1 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
13.05.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-4 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
07.08.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-5 HT 0-3 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
29.04.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
03.11.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-1
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.03 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
309 Passes 358
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare and Consadole Sapporo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 47% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 53%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.03 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 2.33 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Consadole Sapporo?

Shonan Bellmare 1-1 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 40%, draw 29%, Consadole Sapporo 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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