Consadole Sapporo 3-3 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 27 Apr 2024

Consadole Sapporo
3-3 HT 2-0
Shonan Bellmare
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 30% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.97
1/2
11%
31.5
1/X
10%
12.8
X/1
13%
4.95
X/2
13%
6.65
X/X
11%
4.98
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
13%
4.49
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Consadole Sapporo v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.59/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.36
+18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.8 Crosses 17.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.49 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
377 Passes 266
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-1 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
13.05.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-4 HT 0-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
07.08.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-5 HT 0-3 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
29.04.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
03.11.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
02.05.2021 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP

Consadole Sapporo 3-3 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
3-3
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
0.91 xG 3.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 3
340 Passes 387
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo and Shonan Bellmare shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 47% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 53%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 0.91 to 3.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Consadole Sapporo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 0.83 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare?

Consadole Sapporo 3-3 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 36%, draw 27%, Shonan Bellmare 37%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✗ Under 2.5
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