Cerezo Osaka 2-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.66
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
14%
4.76
X/2
11%
7.64
X/X
8%
5.0
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
12%
5.2
2/X
11%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.30/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.63
-8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 81%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.9 Crosses 17.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.75
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
237 Passes 529
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 2-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
01.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 2-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
10.07.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-2 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
19.02.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
24.10.2021 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
06.04.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
2-2
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.99 xG 1.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
320 Passes 481
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
26 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka and Yokohama F. Marinos shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cerezo Osaka at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 42% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 58%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.99 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 1.50 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Cerezo Osaka 2-2 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 45%, draw 25%, Yokohama F. Marinos 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
27 Apr 2024
07:00 Consadole Sapporo vs Shonan Bellmare Analysis →
08:00 Vissel Kobe vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
08:00 Jubilo Iwata vs Machida Zelvia Analysis →
08:00 Albirex Niigata vs FC Tokyo Analysis →