Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 32% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.97
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
10%
5.49
X/2
16%
5.33
X/X
12%
4.05
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
15%
3.82
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.22/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.35
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
375 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
21.5 Crosses 14.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-1 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
12.04.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 1-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
03.10.2021 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-2 HT 0-2 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
06.03.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-3 HT 1-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
16.12.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-2 HT 0-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
19.08.2020 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2-0
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.57 xG 1.24
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
231 Passes 324
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 51
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata got the better of Machida Zelvia 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Jubilo Iwata made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 42% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 58%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 1.57 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.50 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Machida Zelvia?

Jubilo Iwata 2-0 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 33%, draw 27%, Machida Zelvia 40%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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