Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.76
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.55
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
17%
5.12
X/2
7%
6.19
X/X
16%
3.68
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
15%
4.77
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.38/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.27
+0% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
17.5 Crosses 16.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
366 Passes 292
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2017 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-3 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
11.03.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
16.08.2015 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
14.03.2015 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
22.10.2014 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
06.05.2014 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
2-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata
0.85 xG 0.38
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
506 Passes 294
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse saw off Albirex Niigata 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Shimizu S-Pulse made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 60% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 40%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.85 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.17 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Albirex Niigata?

Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 38%, draw 30%, Albirex Niigata 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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