Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.45
Over 2.5
45%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.06
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.76
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.44
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
13%
6.35
X/2
14%
4.61
X/X
12%
3.51
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.35
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
65%
-10.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
35%
+10.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.32/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.10
+28% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
15.1 Crosses 20.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.45 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 Passes 250
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-3 HT 1-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
03.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
25.11.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 2-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
24.05.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JLK
03.05.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
08.03.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2-2
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.36 xG 1.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
250 Passes 268
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
14 Box Touches 41
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus and Vissel Kobe shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 47% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 53%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.36 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.67 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe?

Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 32%, draw 26%, Vissel Kobe 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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