Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.65
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
9%
6.85
X/2
14%
4.24
X/X
13%
4.06
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.9
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.8pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.15/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.13
+11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 78%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.1 Crosses 19.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 1.28
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
313 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 2-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
24.05.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JLK
03.05.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
08.03.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
10.09.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
19.02.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-0 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
0-2
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.92 xG 0.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
339 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe got the better of Nagoya Grampus 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 53% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 47%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.92 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.83 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe?

Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 28%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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