Machida Zelvia 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.7
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.44
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.3
X/1
11%
4.73
X/2
12%
5.8
X/X
11%
4.01
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
11%
4.55
2/X
9%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +0%
1.45/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.09
-24% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +46%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
332 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.0 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 10
16.11.2019 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-3 HT 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
2-0
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.08 xG 0.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
204 Passes 304
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia beat Kashiwa Reysol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Machida Zelvia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 44% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 56%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.08 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Machida Zelvia 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 36%, draw 31%, Kashiwa Reysol 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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