Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 May 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos
1-1 HT 0-0
Jubilo Iwata
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.21
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
13%
4.26
X/2
13%
8.96
X/X
8%
6.07
2/1
7%
20.45
2/2
9%
6.11
2/X
9%
14.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Jubilo Iwata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.95/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.26
+20% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
466 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.8 Crosses 20.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Jubilo Iwata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.70 xG 0.56
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
568 Passes 257
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.04.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
08.03.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JLK
12.10.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
29.05.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
05.10.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
26.05.2019 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Jubilo Iwata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-1
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
3.16 xG 0.80
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 6
465 Passes 206
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 24
28 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos and Jubilo Iwata shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Yokohama F. Marinos at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 64% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 36%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 3.16 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.17 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Jubilo Iwata?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J1 League on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 49%, draw 22%, Jubilo Iwata 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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