Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.78
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
32.5
1/X
9%
12.7
X/1
11%
4.82
X/2
13%
7.15
X/X
11%
5.08
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
12%
4.84
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / -1%
1.34/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.12
+1% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
17.1 Crosses 16.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.22 xG 0.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
511 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JPK
29.10.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
28.05.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
17.09.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
09.04.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
14.08.2021 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.31 xG 2.04
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
438 Passes 283
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 45
7 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale and Kashiwa Reysol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 58% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 42%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.31 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 0.33 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 43%, draw 25%, Kashiwa Reysol 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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