Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities
Jubilo Iwata v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals
Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Jubilo Iwata 3-2 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics
Jubilo Iwata edged past Shonan Bellmare 3-2. From 1-2 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Jubilo Iwata found the edge the numbers couldn't.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, possession split 51% to 49% in Jubilo Iwata's favour, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.19 to 1.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Jubilo Iwata against 0.83 for Shonan Bellmare.
Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare Result & Final Score
Jubilo Iwata 3 - 2 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 30%, draw 30%, Shonan Bellmare 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), Under 2.5 went the other way.