Consadole Sapporo 0-3 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 25 May 2024

Consadole Sapporo
0-3 HT 0-1
Kashima Antlers
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Consadole Sapporo vs Kashima Antlers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.72
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
9%
6.63
X/2
21%
4.73
X/X
16%
4.76
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
15%
2.95
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Consadole Sapporo v Kashima Antlers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 48%
-14% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.33/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.06
-4% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.4 Crosses 18.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

Consadole Sapporo vs Kashima Antlers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.24 xG 1.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
408 Passes 223
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 3-0 HT 2-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
03.05.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-1 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
10.07.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
14.05.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 4-1 HT 3-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
27.06.2021 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 4-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
19.05.2021 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK

Consadole Sapporo 0-3 Kashima Antlers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
0-3
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.35 xG 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
526 Passes 362
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers swept aside Consadole Sapporo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 58% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 42%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.35 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Consadole Sapporo and 2.00 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Kashima Antlers?

Consadole Sapporo 0-3 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 30%, draw 28%, Kashima Antlers 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5
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