Aguilas Doradas 1-1 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 16 Apr 2025

Aguilas Doradas
1-1 HT 0-0
Union Magdalena
📅16/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Aguilas Doradas vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aguilas Doradas v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.22/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.33
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
18.0 Crosses 13.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Aguilas Doradas vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 Passes 247
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.09.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
03.04.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 3-1 HT 1-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
23.09.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
27.03.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-1 HT 2-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
07.10.2019 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-1 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
13.04.2019 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL

Aguilas Doradas 1-1 Union Magdalena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1-1
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.07 xG 0.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
232 Passes 313
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 6
11 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas and Union Magdalena couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aguilas Doradas at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 44% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 56%, shots finished 6-4, expected goals 1.07 to 0.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Magdalena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.33 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Union Magdalena?

Aguilas Doradas 1-1 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 45%, draw 32%, Union Magdalena 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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