Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
3-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-0 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera edged past Deportivo Pasto 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Petrolera as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 55% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 45%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.66 to 0.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.67 for Deportivo Pasto.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pasto?
Alianza Petrolera 1-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pasto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 42%, draw 29%, Deportivo Pasto 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.