Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
3-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto nicked a narrow win over Alianza Petrolera 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 46% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 54%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 0.71 to 0.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.00 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera?
Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 56%, draw 27%, Alianza Petrolera 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.